Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.446374 0.493586 0.544340 0.603066 0.669278 0.741771 0.827355
2025-06-22 0.363794 0.427633 0.501306 0.593066 0.704915 0.837609 1.008119
2025-06-29 0.317609 0.388617 0.474501 0.586907 0.731439 0.912782 1.160298
2025-07-06 0.276256 0.348569 0.439254 0.562630 0.728113 0.945271 1.256595
2025-07-13 0.256236 0.332353 0.430975 0.569969 0.763801 1.029026 1.427314
2025-07-20 0.239569 0.318360 0.423433 0.576250 0.796956 1.110663 1.602316
2025-07-27 0.225494 0.306263 0.416814 0.582275 0.829060 1.192436 1.785235
2025-08-03 0.212368 0.294166 0.408796 0.584907 0.855470 1.267124 1.964424
2025-08-10 0.201729 0.284610 0.403354 0.590345 0.885828 1.349749 2.164756
2025-08-17 0.187334 0.268445 0.386854 0.577295 0.885614 1.383060 2.285303
2025-08-24 0.179604 0.261561 0.383572 0.584196 0.917420 1.470852 2.509610
2025-08-31 0.170083 0.251265 0.374240 0.580483 0.931006 1.528636 2.685977
2025-09-07 0.163049 0.244498 0.370140 0.585286 0.959951 1.616858 2.932524
2025-09-14 0.153577 0.233319 0.358303 0.576280 0.964156 1.661410 3.100829
2025-09-21 0.145584 0.223977 0.348756 0.570285 0.972882 1.714586 3.292462
2025-09-28 0.134844 0.209557 0.329957 0.546804 0.947686 1.701154 3.344086
2025-10-05 0.130735 0.205772 0.328603 0.553904 0.979604 1.800553 3.648722
2025-10-12 0.126729 0.201903 0.326813 0.559980 1.009934 1.899623 3.966288
2025-10-19 0.122951 0.198184 0.325009 0.565807 1.040133 2.001282 4.304176
2025-10-26 0.118883 0.193730 0.321620 0.568353 1.063904 2.091756 4.628755
2025-11-02 0.115502 0.190272 0.319763 0.573612 1.093515 2.197623 5.006709
2025-11-09 0.109649 0.182161 0.309068 0.560990 1.084940 2.218614 5.173459
2025-11-16 0.106966 0.179552 0.308237 0.567665 1.117592 2.335439 5.607290